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NVIDIA not launching new cards any time soon??

2018-05-16
okay guys rumor time and I don't like to usually talk about rumors or turn the rumor mill but enough of you have been asking me about what's happening with a new graphics cards where's the new Nvidia cards that I thought I would pay speculate or ëpeace video right here talking about my thoughts on where the new graphics cards are why we haven't seen them yet and what to expect once they finally do launch with its adjustable pmw 3367 16000 dpi optical sensor for RGB zones 9 customizable buttons and offering both wired and wireless operation are only a few reasons why the Corsair dart core RGB should be on your shortlist for your next mouths purchase check out its full list of features by clicking the link in the description below and the reason why I'm even talking about this is because GDC and GTC have both concluded and some time has passed since then and we've not seen anything new from Camp NVIDIA and there's always speculation as to why that could be I mean in the last couple of years NVIDIA has been really big on holding their own press conferences rather than kind of doing a keynote at an event like CES or Computex or GDC or GTC the last couple of times they've had their own special events round right around the time frame of big events I think Pascal launched right around the time of Dreamhack in Austin Texas and so it was one of those things where okay GDC GTC is over are we gonna see something and no nothing in fact all we've heard is that they've squashed the GPP program because of they were basically saying a lot of people were spreading a lot of false information about it even though the behind the scenes and anonymous tipsters were telling us Nvidia is lying that's besides the point GPP is over us we don't worry about that and obviously it's because a lot of you guys were outraged at the idea of Nvidia even trying to get involved into the naming scheme of third-party manufacturers and their business and I applaud everyone who kind of you know fought on that because it's really none of them videos business on how ASIS or MSI or EVGA or whoever runs their business and how they want to name their cards that's my personal opinion on that you may disagree and that's perfectly okay but because we haven't seen anything new come out it has a lot of people just kind of wondering what the heck is going on now it's important to kind of preface this with no insider information I have had no meetings with NVIDIA I've had no conversations with anybody and so everything I'm about to say from this point forward is completely speculative and it's not from any insider information whatsoever now it's kind of talk about the price history of Pascal real quick because Pascal has just passed two years old may 5th 2016 is when Pascal launched again alongside Dreamhack in Austin Texas like I mentioned we have now just past May what we passed May 5th now which is putting at two years old and because we haven't seen anything now from GTC I don't think we'll see anything around Computex I have not seen any real emails or anything hinting that something big is coming in video when they launch new families of GPUs like to kind of make it a big deal kind of like the order of 10 they did when the 10 series launched with the scavenger hunt and all the clues so we haven't seen anything like that which makes me believe that the new series is not right around the corner now the cheapest graphics card I can find right now from the 1080 TI series is seven hundred and fifty four dollars and ninety eight cents currently in stock at new wake so if you guys are shopping and you guys have seen this video hopefully they're still in stock but that's only about fifty dollars above MSRP from where it first launched it launched I believe that about seven hundred dollars so that's really not bad at all it's at showing a $20 rebate making it 754 so it's actually 769 but if we look at the one year history we can see it was actually one thousand four hundred and forty nine dollars at its highest so although I have said prices are not a hundred percent back to normal they have definitely been improving but there are people still selling that exact card right now for $1000 so the market is still extremely volatile in where pricing is so if you put your ear to the ground you can usually find a good deal like that but if you look at the price history chart on PC part picker you guys and I'll put a link to this one I'm referencing now so that you guys can actually see it yourself and you take a look at where it changes by the time this video goes up it might change it has had a downward trend pretty significantly when we look at new egg pricing so that's good news and that's because I think a lot of the ASIC miners the idea of ASIC mining especially for aetherium which directly uses GPUs has put a lot of people in a holding pattern I think the miners are kind of holding on going wait a minute if these ASIC miners are gonna be coming out and I can get one for roughly the price of one of these inflated graphics cards and it's just that much better hash rate then that's a better return on your investment so I think they're waiting and not buying anything new which is why we're seeing graphics card prices start to come down but as gamers we're on the cusp of something new coming so the gamer doesn't want to buy a graphics card for 700 bucks and have something come out that's better for the same price so everyone's kind of in this holding pattern right now which is allowing the market to sort of catch up but I don't think any of that has to do with why we haven't seen a new graphics card family launch yet I have two main theories as to why that is the first one we're going to go ahead and go with something tangible I'm gonna say the manufacturing process is being held up by the RAM shortages that right now is being investigated or at least Ram manufacturers are being investigated for price fixing which has reduced the ability for manufacturers to ramp up production to be able to keep up with the demand which is artificially inflated the price of memory if that is where the holdup is so price fixing if these manufacturers have you know gotten in cahoots and decided to agree to keep manufacturing low so that they can keep prices high well that's price fixing and they're currently being investigated for that side bar though they have been found guilty of that in the past so it's quite possible that that's exactly what we're dealing with today now the other speculation is just straight at market share Nvidia is holding approximately 70% of the market right now the GPU market which means close to three out of every four gamers has an Nvidia graphics card so what that means is there's just not a lot of incentive for them to innovate and spend a lot of money and drop something now when they don't have to when they're already dominating the market and AMD has not launched anything new in the last year when it comes to the mainstream gamer like the RX sep 570 and 580 is all you've got the Vega 56 in Vega 64 were pretty much launched out of the attainable price point of most gamers and the 570 and 580 have just been kind of falling behind in terms of where they stack up versus the current Nvidia offering if Nvidia had considered to do annual launches like they had been they would be even farther behind that's probably reason why NVIDIA doesn't have more than around 70% of the market share right now but it's just simple supply and demand and it's the same type of thing we saw with Intel where if you are dominating the market and your only competitor right Intel only has AMD to compete with and NVIDIA pretty much only has AMD to compete with why spend so much money on bringing new products to market when you already control the market you can keep that money in your bank account keep your investors happy at the expense of people's murmuring and grumbling about not seeing a new graphics card because they already control the markets so all that mumbling and grumbling isn't affecting their bottom line BRABUS see that changed when it came to the cpu market because Intel kind of banked on Rison not being that widely adopted or being maybe a little bit of a failure in terms of where people were expecting it to be kind of like what happened with the FX series but Rison came out made a huge splash and from day one started to gain market share back from Intel so Intel obviously did a pretty bold move by pulling in two platforms into 2017 that weren't even scheduled to come out until 2018 obviously showing that there could be competition once again in that space so we need competition to happen in the Nvidia space otherwise why would they or the graphics card space otherwise why would Nvidia care to spend money on bringing new graphics cards to market now I'm gonna go ahead and talk to you the gamer right now who's sitting on the edge of his chair waiting for something new because you've got XYZ money to spend and you want to get the most for your money if you are gonna sit and wait for the next family of GPUs to come you probably aren't going to see anything until closer to Christmas time this year that's my best guess on when we can expect to see based on previous families of GPUs this is currently the longest family of GPU that we've seen yet from Nvidia yes Fermi was also a two-year family but that was spread over two different generations the 400 series and the 500 series where Pascal has now been the 10 Series alive for over two years and by the time we see it refreshed with the 1180 or 2080 or whatever they're calling it will probably see Pascal reached two and a half years before something new actually comes out in fact rumor has it too that we're not going to see the new mobile chips until the beginning of next year which is kind of what I'm basing some of my speculate because mobile usually launches a couple of months after desktop but the best advice I could give to someone who's sitting around waiting trying to decide whether or not they are going to buy a new graphics card now with the somewhat improved market in terms of pricing is you probably should because I think when the new family of graphics cards launch its if we haven't seen a theory a miners or ASIC miners become available yet yes they've been built yes have been pre-ordered they have not started shipping yet I think when the new graphics card family comes out and we see its improved performance I think miners are going to gobble those up again so you might wait and then unfortunately the market disrupts again and then you might not be able to buy anything past gen or current gen so I also look at it this way if you're gonna be always afraid of the new next the next thing coming out and you don't want to buy then you're always gonna be waiting because we are in a leapfrog guys CPUs and GPUs are usually staggered on when the new stuff comes out so you could be waiting indefinitely and you always be afraid of being outpaced on what you can get for your money but the way I look at it personally is if what you can buy today meets and exceed your needs and you're happy with it then the only thing you're really missing out on at the end of the day is maybe a tiny bit more performance usually about twenty to twenty-five percent on the Nvidia yeah that's not a tiny bit but if it's already exceeding the performance you want out of it then you can be happy and enjoy your stuff now rather than being afraid and worried all the time and the only thing you're really missing out on is little bit of bragging rights but if you're wondering where I came up with that 20 to 25 percent improvement that we can expect with the new graphics card is that's pretty much been consistent with Nvidia in fact I did a video not a little while back that where I tested the 580 all the way up to I believe the 980ti every 80 series card and saw an extremely consistent 20 to 25 percent improvement or anywhere in between generation to generation so I don't see in videos showing us too much advancement in GPU technology I think they're gonna keep it right around the 20 25 percent artificially which obviously is a pretty good chunk but like I said if you are not if what you can buy today is meeting or exceeding your needs than by today or you're always going to be afraid of the next thing coming out and you're not gonna be obsolete from one generation to the next so that mean that'd be my best piece of advice there is a rumor though that the new generation in video cards could possibly be featuring Samsung G DDR six which is going to be either 16 or 18 gigabit per second depending on the card or which chips they go with which would be a significant improvement in memory speeds which is kind of been where Pascal is really shined when it comes to memory speeds so we might see something new and innovative I don't think we're gonna see HBM though I don't think that's gonna be affordable for the mainstream for a while I still think we're gonna see a conventional layout GPU is surrounded by memory but I think we're gonna see faster memory and possibly even faster GPU core speeds who knows I mean Pascal can hit 2000 with no problem we're just a couple years ago 2000 was only achieved by people doing ln2 overclocking but guys I'm gonna go thanks for watching today's video this was this was a direct response to all of the people sending me messages and asking me questions about when I think the new graphics cards are gonna launch do I think they're gonna be good should you wait should you buy now because prices are starting to improve so I just wanted to kind of make a central video that you guys can come in reference and to get the my thoughts all in one place rather than trying to dig through Twitter and all that although twitter is a pretty good place to follow for some of this information speaking of graphics cards oh I'm gonna be giving away a whole PC and you guys can find the details to that by watching the video in the link in the description and you guys can obviously you know that's free so who doesn't like free stuff alright guys I'm gonna go thanks for watching and as always I will see you in the next one you
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