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Elon Musk’s Mars colonization event in 5 minutes

2016-09-27
what I really want to achieve here is to make Mars seem possible they're really two fundamental paths one path is we stay on earth forever and then there will be some eventual extinction event what the alternative is to become a spacefaring civilization and a multi-planet species why Mars that they're actually fed they're remarkably closed in a lot of ways in fact we not believe that that early Mars was a lot like Earth so we just need to change that bottom row because currently we have seven billion people on earth and zero on Mars the issue that we have today is that there's no intersection of sets of people who want to go and can't afford to go an optimistic cost number would be about 10 billion dollars a person and if we get a cut the cost of moving to Mars do roughly equivalent to a median house price in in the US which is around $200,000 then I think the probability of establishing a self-sustaining civilization is very high so it is a bit tricky we have forgot how to improve the cost of trips to Mars by five million percent these are the key elements that are needed in order to achieve the four and a half order of magnitude improvement with frequent flights you can take something like an aircraft that costs ninety million dollars if it were single-use you'd have to pay half a million dollars to the flight so if taking the right propellant is also important I think this is maybe this does three main choices that methane actually was the clear winner and this is this is simulation though the old rules this is to give you a sense of size so they at least 100 people per trip is is the right order of magnitude and I think we actually may end up expanding the the crew section and and ultimately taking more like 200 or more people per flight in order to reduce the cost per person so it's probably somewhere between there maybe 40 to 100 years to achieve a fully self-sustaining civilization on large it's made primarily of an advanced carbon fiber and bikes that this is all designed slip you could actually lose multiple engines even at liftoff or anywhere flights and continue the mission safely the trip time at six kilometres per second departure velocity can be as low as 80 days also the I suspect that you'd see Mars transit times of as well as 30 days in the more distant future I mean in order to make it appealing and increase that portion of the Venn diagram where people actually want to go it's got to be really fun and exciting the crew the crew compartment or the Aqua compartment is set up so that you can do zero-g games you can foot around they'll be like movies lecture polls your cabins a restaurant it'll be like really fun to go you can have a great time really the key is is making this affordable to almost anyone who wants to go the architecture allows full a cost per ticket of less than $200,000 maybe as less maybe as little as one hundred thousand dollars cutting upon how much mass a person takes or so then what about beyond Moz so there's this absolute the rocket booster the spaceship the tanker and the propelled plants if you have all of those four elements you can actually go anywhere in the solar system by but by planet hopping or Moon hopping but but by establishing propellant deeper if this system really gives gives you freedom to go anywhere you want in the greater solar system this is to give you a sense of size it's quite big
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